A forest ranger wishes to investigate the mass of adult male koalas in a Victorian forest. A random sample of 20 such koalas has a sample mean of 11.39 kg.
It is known that the mass of adult male koalas in the forest is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 1 kg.
- Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean (the mean mass of all adult male koalas in the forest). Give your values correct to two decimal places. (1 mark)
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- Sixty such random samples are taken and their confidence intervals are calculated.
- In how many of these confidence intervals would the actual mean mass of all adult male koalas in the forest be expected to lie? (1 mark)
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The ranger wants to decrease the width of the 95% confidence interval by 60% to get a better estimate of the population mean.
- How many adult male koalas should be sampled to achieve this? (1 mark)
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It is thought that the mean mass of adult male koalas in the forest is 12 kg. The ranger thinks that the true mean mass is less than this and decides to apply a one-tailed statistical test. A random sample of 40 adult male koalas is taken and the sample mean is found to be 11.6 kg.
- Write down the null hypothesis,
, and the alternative hypothesis, , for the test. (1 mark)
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The ranger decides to apply the one-tailed test at the 1% level of significance and assumes the mass of adult male koalas in the forest is normally distributed with a mean of 12 kg and a standard deviation of 1 kg.
- i. Find the
value for the test correct to four decimal places. (1 mark)
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- ii. Draw a conclusion about the null hypothesis in part d. from the
value found above, giving a reason for your conclusion. (1 mark)
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- What is the critical sample mean (the smallest sample mean for
not to be rejected) in this test? Give your answer in kilograms correct to three decimal places. (1 mark) --- 2 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---
Suppose that the true mean mass of adult male koalas in the forest is 11.4 kg, and the standard deviation is 1 kg. The level of significance of the test is still 1%.
- What is the probability, correct to three decimal places, of the ranger making a type
error in the statistical test? (1 mark)
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