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Probability, MET2 2021 VCAA 20 MC

Let `A` and `B` be two independent events from a sample space.

If  `text{Pr} (A) = p , \ text{Pr}(B) = p^2`  and  `text{Pr} (A) + text{Pr} (B) = 1`, then  `text{Pr}(A′ ∪ B)`  is equal to

  1. `1-p-p^2`
  2. `p^2-p^3`
  3. `p-p^3`
  4. `1-p + p^3`
  5. `1-p-p^2 + p^3`
Show Answers Only

`D`

Show Worked Solution

`text{Pr} (A) = p , \ text{Pr}(B) = p^2, text{Pr} (A) + text{Pr} (B) = 1`

♦ Mean mark 39%.
`text{Pr}(A ∩ B)` `= p xx p^2 = p^3 \ \ (A, B\ text{are independent)}`
`text{Pr}(A ∩ B′)` `= p (1-p^2) = p-p^3`
`text{Pr}(A′ ∪ B)` `= 1-text{Pr} (A ∩ B′)`
  `= 1-p + p^3`

 
`=> D`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 6, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET2 2019 VCAA 11 MC

`A` and `B` are events from a sample space such that  `text(Pr)(A) = p`, where  `p > 0, \ text(Pr)(B\ text{|}\ A) = m`  and  `text(Pr)(B\ text{|}\ A prime) = n`.

`A` and `B` are independent events when

  1. `m = n`
  2. `m = 1 - p`
  3. `m + n = 1`
  4. `m = p`
  5. `m + n = 1 - p`
Show Answers Only

`A`

Show Worked Solution

`text(S) text(ince)\ A and B\ text(are independent),`

`text(Pr)(B\ text{|}\ A) = text(Pr)(B\ text{|}\ A prime)`

`:. m = n`
 

`=>   A`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET2 2018 VCAA 14 MC

Two events, `A` and `B`, are independent, where  `text(Pr) (B) = 2 text(Pr) (A)`  and  `text(Pr) (A uu B) = 0.52`

`text(Pr) (A)`  is equal to

  1. 0.1
  2. 0.2
  3. 0.3
  4. 0.4
  5. 0.5
Show Answers Only

`B`

Show Worked Solution

`text(If)\ \ p_A = text(Pr)(A) \ =>\  2p_A = text(Pr)(B)`

`text(Pr)(A uu B)` `= text(Pr)(A) + text(Pr)(B) – text(Pr)(A) xx text(Pr)(B)`
`0.52` `= p_A + 2p_A – p_A ⋅ 2p_A`
`2(p_A)^2 – 3 p_A + 0.52` `= 0`
`:. p_A` `= 0.2`

  
`=>   B`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, smc-2736-20-Set Notation

Probability, MET1 2017 VCAA 8

For events `A` and `B` from a sample space, `text(Pr)(A text(|)B) = 1/5` and `text(Pr)(B text(|)A) = 1/4`.  Let  `text(Pr)(A nn B) = p`.

  1. Find  `text(Pr)(A)` in terms of `p`.  (1 mark)

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  2. Find  `text(Pr)(A^{′} nn B^{′})` in terms of `p`.  (2 marks)

    --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---

  3. Given that  `text(Pr)(A uu B) <= 1/5`, state the largest possible interval for `p`.  (2 marks)

    --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---

Show Answers Only

  1. `text(Pr) (A) = 4p,\ \ p > 0`
  2. `1-8p`
  3. `0 < p <= 1/40`

Show Worked Solution

a.    `text(Pr)(A)` `=(text(Pr)(A nn B))/(text(Pr)(B text(|) A))`
    `=p/(1/4)`
    `=4p`

 

b.  `text(Consider the Venn diagram:)`

♦ Mean mark 40%.
MARKER’S COMMENT: The most successful answers used a Venn diagram or table.

`text(Pr)(A^{′} nn B^{′}) = 1-8p`

 

c.  `text(Given  Pr)(A uu B) = 8p`

♦ Mean mark 37%.

`=> 0 < 8p <= 1/5`

`:. 0 < p <= 1/40`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, Band 5, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-30-Venn Diagrams

Probability, MET2 2010 VCAA 21 MC

Events `A` and `B` are mutually exclusive events of a sample space with

`text(Pr) (A) = p and text(Pr) (B) = q\ \ text(where)\ \ 0 < p < 1 and 0 < q < 1.`

`text(Pr) (A prime nn B prime)` is equal to

  1. `(1 - p) (1 - q)`
  2. `1 - pq`
  3. `1 - (p + q)`
  4. `2 - p - q`
  5. `1 - (p + q - pq)`
Show Answers Only

`C`

Show Worked Solution

♦ Mean mark 43%.
`text(Pr) (A prime nn B prime)` `= 1 – p – q`
  `= 1 – (p + q)`

`=>   C`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 5, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET2 2011 VCAA 21 MC

For two events, `P` and `Q`, `text(Pr)(P ∩ Q) = text(Pr)(P′ ∩ Q)`.

`P` and `Q` will be independent events exactly when

  1. `text(Pr)(P′) = text(Pr)(Q)`
  2. `text(Pr)(P ∩ Q′) = text(Pr)(P′ ∩ Q)`
  3. `text(Pr)(P ∩ Q) = text(Pr)(P) + Pr(Q)`
  4. `text(Pr)(P ∩ Q′) = text(Pr)(P ∩ Q)`
  5. `text(Pr)(P) = 1/2`
Show Answers Only

`=> E`

Show Worked Solution

`text(Let)\ \ text(Pr)(P ∩ Q)` `= x = text(Pr)(P′ ∩ Q)`
`text(Let)\ \ text(Pr)(P ∩ Q′)` `= y`

 

`text(If)\ P, Q\ text(independent)`

♦♦♦ Mean mark 15%.
`text(Pr)(P) xx text(Pr)(Q)` `= text(Pr)(P ∩ Q)`
`(y + x)(2x)` `= x`
`:. 2(x + y)` `= 1`
`x + y` `= 1/2`
`text(Pr)(P)` `= 1/2`

`=> E`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 6, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-30-Venn Diagrams, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET1 2007 VCAA 6

Two events, `A` and `B`, from a given event space, are such that  `text(Pr)(A) = 1/5`  and  `text(Pr)(B) = 1/3`.

  1. Calculate  `text(Pr)(A^{′} ∩ B)`  when  `text(Pr)(A ∩ B) = 1/8`.  (1 mark)

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  2. Calculate  `text(Pr)(A^{′} ∩ B)`  when `A` and `B` are mutually exclusive events.  (1 mark)

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Show Answers Only

  1. `5/24`
  2. `1/3`

Show Worked Solution

a.   `text(Sketch Venn diagram:)`

♦♦ Mean mark (a) 31%.
MARKER’S COMMENTS: Students who drew a Venn diagram or Karnaugh map were the most successful.

met1-2007-vcaa-q6-answer3

`:. text(Pr)(A^{′} ∩ B)` `=text(Pr)(B)-text(Pr)(A ∩B)`
  `=1/3-1/8`
  `=5/24`

 

♦♦ Mean mark (b) 23%.

b.    met1-2007-vcaa-q6-answer4

`text(Mutually exclusive means)\ \ text(Pr)(A ∩ B)=0,`

`:. text(Pr)(A^{′} ∩ B) = 1/3`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 5, Band 6, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-30-Venn Diagrams, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET1 2011 VCAA 8

Two events, `A` and `B`, are such that  `text(Pr) (A) = 3/5`  and  `text(Pr) (B) = 1/4.`

If `A^{′}` denotes the compliment of `A`, calculate  `text(Pr) (A^{′} nn B)` when

  1. `text(Pr) (A uu B) = 3/4`  (2 marks)

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  2. `A` and `B` are mutually exclusive.  (1 mark)

    --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---

Show Answers Only

  1. `text(Pr) (A^{′} nn B) = 3/20`
  2. `text(Pr) (A^{′} nn B) = 1/4`

Show Worked Solution

a.   `text(Sketch Venn Diagram)`

vcaa-2011-meth-8i

`text(Pr) (A uu B)` `= text(Pr) (A) + text(Pr) (B)-text(Pr) (A nn B)`
`3/4` `= 3/5 + 1/4-text(Pr) (A nn B)`
`text(Pr) (A nn B)` `= 1/10`

 

 `:.\ text(Pr) (A^{′} nn B) = 1/4-1/10 = 3/20`

 

b.   vcaa-2011-meth-8ii

`text(Pr) (A∩ B)=0\ \ text{(mutually exclusive)},`

`:.\ text(Pr) (A^{′} nn B) = text(Pr) (B) = 1/4`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, Band 5, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-30-Venn Diagrams, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET2 2013 VCAA 10 MC

For events `A` and `B,\ text(Pr)(A ∩ B) = p,\ text(Pr)(A′∩ B) = p - 1/8`  and  `text(Pr)(A ∩ B prime) = (3p)/5.`

If `A` and `B` are independent, then the value of  `p`  is

  1. `0`
  2. `1/4`
  3. `3/8`
  4. `1/2`
  5. `3/5`
Show Answers Only

`C`

Show Worked Solution
`text{Pr}(A)` `= text{Pr}(A ∩ B) + text{Pr}(A ∩ B prime)`
  `= p + (3p)/5`
  `= (8p)/5`

 

`text{Pr}(B)` `= text{Pr}(B ∩ A) + text{Pr}(B ∩ A prime)`
  `= p + p – 1/8`
  `= 2p – 1/8`

 

`text(S)text(ince)\ A and B\ text(are independent events,)`

`text{Pr}(A ∩ B)` ` = text{Pr}(A) xx text{Pr}(B)`
`p` `=(8p)/5 (2p – 1/8)`
`5p` `=16p^2-p`
`16p^2-6p` `=0`
`2p(8p-3)` `=0`
`:.p` `=3/8,\ \ \ p!=0`

`=>   C`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, smc-2736-20-Set Notation, smc-2736-40-Independent Events

Probability, MET2 2013 VCAA 17 MC

`A` and `B` are events of a sample space.

Given that  `text(Pr)(A|B) = p,\ \ text(Pr)(B) = p^2` and `text(Pr)(A) = p^(1/3),\ text(Pr)(B|A)`  is equal to

  1. `p`
  2. `p^(4/3)`
  3. `p^(7/3)`
  4. `p^(8/3)`
  5. `p^3`
Show Answers Only

`D`

Show Worked Solution
`text(Pr)(A | B)` `= (text(Pr)(A ∩ B))/(text(Pr)(B)`
`p` `= (text(Pr)(A ∩ B))/(p^2)`
`:. text(Pr)(A ∩ B)` `= p^3`
♦ Mean mark 49%.

 

`text(Pr)(B | A)` `= (text(Pr)(A ∩ B))/(text(Pr)(A))`
  `= (p^3)/(p^(1/3))`
`:. text(Pr)(B | A)` `= p^(8/3)`

 

`=>   D`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 5, smc-2736-10-Conditional probability, smc-2736-20-Set Notation

Probability, MET2 2012 VCAA 13 MC

`A` and `B` are events of a sample space `S.`

`text(Pr)(A nn B) = 2/5` and `text(Pr)(A nn B prime) = 3/7`

`text(Pr)(B prime | A)` is equal to

  1. `6/35`
  2. `15/29`
  3. `14/35`
  4. `29/35`
  5. `2/3`
Show Answers Only

`B`

Show Worked Solution

met2-2012-vcaa-13-mc-answer

`text(Pr)(B prime | A)` `= (text(Pr)(B prime nn A))/(text(Pr)(A))`
  `= (text(Pr)(B prime nn A))/(text(Pr)(B prime nn A)+ text(Pr)(A nn B))`
  `= (3/7)/(3/7 + 2/5)`
  `= 15/29`

`=>   B`

Filed Under: Conditional Probability and Set Notation Tagged With: Band 4, smc-2736-10-Conditional probability, smc-2736-20-Set Notation

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