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Probability, MET2 2021 VCAA 4

A teacher coaches their school's table tennis team.

The teacher has an adjustable ball machine that they use to help the players practise.

The speed, measured in metres per second, of the balls shot by the ball machine is a normally distributed random variable `W`.

The teacher sets the ball machine with a mean speed of 10 metres per second and standard deviation of 0.8 metres per second.

  1. Determine  `text(Pr) (W ≥11)`, correct to three decimal places.   (1 mark)

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  2. Find the value of `k`, in metres per second, which 80% of ball speeds are below. Give your answer in metres per second, correct to one decimal place.   (1 mark) 

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The teacher adjusts the height setting for the ball machine. The machine now shoots balls high above the table tennis table.

Unfortunately, with the new height setting, 8% of balls do not land on the table.

Let  `overset^P`  be the random variable representing the sample proportion of the balls that do not land on the table in random samples of 25 balls.

  1. Find the mean and the standard deviation of  `overset^P`.   (2 marks)

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  2. Use the binomial distribution to find  `text(Pr) (overset^P > 0.1)`, correct to three decimal places.   (2 marks) 

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The teacher can also adjust the spin setting on the ball machine.

The spin, measured in revolutions per second, is a continuous random variable  `X` with the probability density function
 

       `f(x) = {(x/500, 0 <= x < 20), ({50-x}/{750}, 20 <= x <= 50), (\ 0, text(elsewhere)):}`
 

  1. Find the maximum possible spin applied by the ball machine, in revolutions per second.   (1 mark)

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Show Answers Only

  1. `0.106`
  2. `0.8`
  3. `sqrt46/125`
  4. `0.323`
  5. `50 \ text{revolutions per second}`
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Show Worked Solution

a.   `W\ ~\ N (10,0.8^2)`

`text{By CAS: norm Cdf} \ (11, ∞, 10, 0.8)`

`text(Pr) (W >= 11) = 0.106`
 

b.    `text(Pr) (W < k) = 0.8 \ \ \ text{By CAS: inv Norm} \ (0.8, 10, 0.8)`
 

c.    `E(overset^P) =  0.08 = 2/25`

♦ Mean mark part (c) 45%.

`text(s.d.) (overset^P) = sqrt{{0.08 xx 0.92}/{25}} = sqrt46/125`
 

d.    `X\ ~\ text(Bi) (25, 0.08)`

♦ Mean mark part (d) 49%.

`text{By CAS: binomCdf} \ (25, 0.08, 3, 25)`

`text(Pr) (overset^P > 0.1)` `= text(Pr) (X > 0.1 xx 25)`
  `= text(Pr) (X > 2.5)`
  `= text(Pr) (X >= 3)`
  `= 0.323`

 

e.    `text{Maximum spin = 50 revolutions per second}`

♦♦ Mean mark part (e) 21%.

 

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Filed Under: Binomial, Probability density functions Tagged With: Band 4, Band 5, Band 6, smc-637-30-Var(X), smc-637-50-Linear PDF, smc-638-20-binomCdf (CAS), smc-719-10-Single z-score

Probability, MET2 2014 VCAA 16 MC

The continuous random variable `X`, with probability density function  `p(x)`, has mean 2 and variance 5.

The value of  `int_-oo^oo x^2 p(x)\ dx`  is

  1. `1`
  2. `7`
  3. `9`
  4. `21`
  5. `29`
Show Answers Only

`C`

Show Worked Solution
♦ Mean mark 46%.
`text(VAR)(X)` `= text(E)(X^2) – [text(E)(X)]^2`
`5` `= int_(−∞)^∞ x^2 p(x)\ dx – (2)^2`
`:. 9` `= int_(−∞)^∞ x^2 p(x)\ dx`

 
`=>   C`

Filed Under: Probability density functions Tagged With: Band 5, smc-637-10-E(X), smc-637-30-Var(X)

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