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Probability, STD2 S2 2024 HSC 31

A coin is biased so that it is twice as likely to show a head than a tail.

  1. What is the probability of obtaining a head with one throw of this coin?   (1 mark)

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  2. In two throws of this coin, what is the probability of obtaining at least one head?   (2 marks)

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Show Answers Only

a.   \(P(H) = \dfrac{2}{3}\)

b.   \(P\text{(at least 1 head)}\ = \dfrac{8}{9}\)

Show Worked Solution

a.   \(P(H) = \dfrac{2}{3}\)

b.   \(P(T) = 1-P(H)=1-\dfrac{2}{3}=\dfrac{1}{3}\)

  \(P\text{(at least 1 head)}\) \(=1-P\text{(no heads)}\)
    \(=1-P(TT)\)
    \(=1-\dfrac{1}{3} \times \dfrac{1}{3}=\dfrac{8}{9}\)
♦ Mean mark (a) 51%.
♦♦ Mean mark (b) 30%.

Filed Under: Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events Tagged With: Band 4, Band 5, smc-6935-20-P(A and B)=P(A) x P(B), smc-6935-30-\(P\text{(E)} = 1-P\text{(not E)}\), smc-829-30-P(E) = 1 - P(not E)

Probability, STD2 S2 2015 HSC 16 MC

The probability of winning a game is `7/10`.

Which expression represents the probability of winning two consecutive games?

  1. `7/10 xx 6/9`
  2. `7/10 xx 6/10`
  3. `7/10 xx 7/9`
  4. `7/10 xx 7/10`
Show Answers Only

`D`

Show Worked Solution

`text{Since the two events are independent:}`

`P text{(W)}= 7/10`

`P text{(WW)}= 7/10 xx 7/10`

  
`=>D`

Filed Under: Multi-stage Events, Multi-Stage Events, Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events Tagged With: Band 4, num-title-ct-corea, num-title-qs-hsc, smc-1135-20-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-4238-20-Independent events, smc-6935-20-P(A and B)=P(A) x P(B), smc-6935-25-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-829-20-Other Multi-Stage Events

Probability, STD2 S2 2007 HSC 10 MC

Each time she throws a dart, the probability that Mary hits the dartboard is  `2/7`.

She throws two darts, one after the other.

What is the probability that she hits the dartboard with both darts?

  1. `1/21` 
  2. `4/49` 
  3. `2/7`
  4. `4/7`
Show Answers Only

`B`

Show Worked Solution

`P text{(hits)} = 2/7`

`P text{(hits twice)}= 2/7 xx 2/7= 4/49`  

`=>  B`

Filed Under: Multi-Stage Events, Multi-stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events Tagged With: Band 4, smc-1135-20-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-6935-20-P(A and B)=P(A) x P(B), smc-6935-25-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-829-20-Other Multi-Stage Events

Probability, STD2 S2 2014 HSC 16 MC

In Mathsville, there are on average eight rainy days in October.

Which expression could be used to find a value for the probability that it will rain on two consecutive days in October in Mathsville?

  1. `8/31 xx 7/30`
  2. `8/31 xx 7/31`
  3. `8/31 xx 8/30`
  4. `8/31 xx 8/31`
Show Answers Only

`D`

Show Worked Solution

`P text{(rains)} = 8/31\ \ \text{(independent event for each day)}`

`text{Since each day has same probability:}`

`P(R_1 R_2) = 8/31 xx 8/31`

`=>  D`

♦♦♦ Mean mark 16%.
Lowest mark of any MC question in 2014!

Filed Under: Multi-Stage Events, Multi-Stage Events, Multi-stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events Tagged With: Band 6, num-title-ct-corea, num-title-qs-hsc, smc-4238-20-Independent events, smc-6935-20-P(A and B)=P(A) x P(B), smc-6935-25-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-829-20-Other Multi-Stage Events

Probability, STD2 S2 2013 HSC 26c

The probability that Michael will score more than 100 points in a game of bowling is `31/40`. 

  1. A commentator states that the probability that Michael will score less than 100 points in a game of bowling is  `9/40`.

     

    Is the commentator correct? Give a reason for your answer.   (1 mark)

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  2. Michael plays two games of bowling. What is the probability that he scores more than 100 points in the first game and then again in the second game?   (1 mark)

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Show Answers Only

a.    `text{Incorrect. Less than “or equal to 100” is correct.}`

b.    `961/1600`

Show Worked Solution
♦♦♦ Mean mark (a) 11%

a.    `text(The commentator is incorrect. )`

`text(The correct statement is)\ Ptext{(score} <=100 text{)} =9/40`

`text{(i.e. less than “or equal to 100” is the correct statement)}`

 

♦ Mean mark (b) 34%

b.    `P(text{score >100 in both})= 31/40 xx 31/40= 961/1600`

Filed Under: Fundamental Understanding, Fundamental Understanding, Fundamental understanding, Multi-stage Events, Multi-Stage Events, Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events, Single and Multi-Stage Events Tagged With: Band 5, Band 6, num-title-ct-corea, num-title-qs-hsc, smc-1135-20-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-4238-20-Independent events, smc-4238-70-Complementary events, smc-6935-04-Fundamental Understanding, smc-6935-20-P(A and B)=P(A) x P(B), smc-6935-25-Other Multi-Stage Events, smc-829-20-Other Multi-Stage Events

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