Consider the normal random variable \(X\) that satisfies \( \text{Pr} (X < 10) = 0.2\) and \(\text{Pr}(X > 18) = 0.2 \).
The value of \(\text{Pr}(X<12)\) is closest to
- 0.134
- 0.297
- 0.337
- 0.365
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Consider the normal random variable \(X\) that satisfies \( \text{Pr} (X < 10) = 0.2\) and \(\text{Pr}(X > 18) = 0.2 \).
The value of \(\text{Pr}(X<12)\) is closest to
\(C\)
A manufacturer produces tennis balls.
The diameter of the tennis balls is a normally distributed random variable \(D\), which has a mean of 6.7 cm and a standard deviation of 0.1 cm.
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Tennis balls are packed and sold in cylindrical containers. A tennis ball can fit through the opening at the top of the container if its diameter is smaller than 6.95 cm.
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A tennis ball is classed as grade A if its diameter is between 6.54 cm and 6.86 cm, otherwise it is classed as grade B.
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A tennis coach uses both grade A and grade B balls. The serving speed, in metres per second, of a grade A ball is a continuous random variable, \(V\), with the probability density function
\(f(v) = \begin {cases}
\dfrac{1}{6\pi}\sin\Bigg(\sqrt{\dfrac{v-30}{3}}\Bigg) &\ \ 30 \leq v \leq 3\pi^2+30 \\
0 &\ \ \text{elsewhere}
\end{cases}\)
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The serving speed of a grade B ball is given by a continuous random variable, \(W\), with the probability density function \(g(w)\).
A transformation maps the graph of \(f\) to the graph of \(g\), where \(g(w)=af\Bigg(\dfrac{w}{b}\Bigg)\).
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a. \(0.1587\)
b. \(d\approx6.83\)
c. \(0.9938\)
d. \(0.9998\)
e. \(0,8960\)
f. \(0.06\)
g. \(90\%\)
h. \(0.1345\)
i. \(3(\pi^2+4)\)
j. \(a=\dfrac{3}{2}, b=\dfrac{2}{3}\)
a. \(\text{Normal distribution:}\to \mu=6.7, \sigma=0.1\)
\(D\sim N(6.7, 0.1^2)\)
\(\text{Using CAS: }[\text{normCdf}(6.8, \infty, 6.7, 0.1)]\)
\(\Pr(D>6.8)=0.15865…\approx0.1587\)
b. \(\Pr(D<d)=0.90\)
\(\Pr\Bigg(Z<\dfrac{d-6.7}{0.1}\Bigg)=0.90\)
\(\text{Using CAS: }[\text{invNorm}(0.9, 6.7, 0.1)]\)
\(\therefore\ d=6.828155…\approx6.83\ \text{cm}\)
c. \(\text{Normal distribution:}\to \mu=6.7, \sigma=0.1\)
\(D\sim N(6.7, 0.1^2)\)
\(\text{Using CAS: }[\text{normCdf}(-\infty, 6.95, 6.7, 0.1)]\)
\(\Pr(D<6.95)=0.99379…\approx0.9938\)
d. \(\text{Binomial:}\to n=4, p=0.99379…\)
\(X=\text{number of balls}\)
\(X\sim \text{Bi}(4, 0.999379 …)\)
\(\text{Using CAS: }[\text{binomCdf}(4, 0.999379 …, 3, 4)]\)
\(\Pr(X\geq 3)=0.99977 …\approx 0.9998\)
| e. | \(\Pr(\text{Grade A|Fits})\) | \(=\Pr(6.54<D<6.86|D<6.95)\) |
| \(=\dfrac{\Pr(6.54<D<6.86)}{\Pr(D<6.95)}\) | ||
| \(\text{Using CAS: }\) | \(=\Bigg[\dfrac{\text{normCdf}(6.54, 6.86, 6.7, 0.1)}{\text{normCdf}(-\infty, 6.95, 6.7, 0.1)}\Bigg]\) | |
| \(=\dfrac{0.89040…}{0.99977…}\) | ||
| \(=0.895965…\approx 0.8960\) |
f. \(\text{Normally distributed → symmetrical}\)
\(\text{Pr ball diameter outside the 99% interval}=1-0.99=0.01\)
\(D\sim N(6.7, \mu^2)\)
\(\Pr(6.54<D<6.86)>0.99\)
\(\therefore\ \Pr(D<6.54)<\dfrac{1-0.99}{2}\)
\(\text{Find z score using CAS: }\Bigg[\text{invNorm}\Bigg(\dfrac{1-0.99}{2},0,1\Bigg)\Bigg]=-2.575829…\)
\(\text{Then solve:} \ \dfrac{6.54-6.7}{\sigma}<-2.575829…\)
\(\therefore\ \sigma<0.0621\approx 0.06\)
g. \(\hat{p}=\dfrac{0.7382+0.9493}{2}=0.84375\)
\(\text{Solve the following simultaneous equations for }z, \hat{p}=0.84375\)
| \(0.84375-z\sqrt{\dfrac{0.84375(1-0.84375)}{32}}\) | \(=0.7382\) | \((1)\) |
| \(0.84375+z\sqrt{\dfrac{0.84375(1-0.84375)}{32}}\) | \(=0.9493\) | \((2)\) |
| \(\text{Equation}(2)-(1)\) | ||
| \(2z\sqrt{\dfrac{0.84375(1-0.84375)}{32}}\) | \(=0.2111\) | |
| \(z=\dfrac{0.10555}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.84375(1-0.84375)}{32}}}\) | \(=1.64443352\) |
\(\text{Alternatively using CAS: Solve the following simultaneous equations for }z, \hat{p}\)
| \(\hat{p}-z\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{32}}\) | \(=0.7382\) |
| \(\text{and}\) | |
| \(\hat{p}+z\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{32}}\) | \(=0.9493\) |
\(\rightarrow \ z=1.64444…\ \text{and}\ \hat{p}=0.84375\)
\(\therefore\ \text{Using CAS: normCdf}(-1.64443352, 1.64443352, 0 , 1)\)
\(\text{Level of Confidence} =0.89999133…=90\%\)
h. \(\text{Using CAS: Evaluate }\to \displaystyle \int_{50}^{3\pi^2+30} \frac{1}{6\pi}\sin\Bigg(\sqrt{\dfrac{v-30}{3}}\Bigg)\,dx=0.1345163712\approx 0.1345\)
i. \(\text{Using CAS: Evaluate }\to \displaystyle \int_{30}^{3\pi^2+30} v.\dfrac{1}{6\pi}\sin\Bigg(\sqrt{\dfrac{v-30}{3}}\Bigg)\,dx=3(\pi^2+4)=3\pi^2+12\)
j. \(\text{When the function is dilated in both directions, }a\times b=1\)
\(\text{Method 1 : Simultaneous equations}\)
\(g(w) = \begin {cases}
\dfrac{b}{6\pi}\sin\Bigg(\sqrt{\dfrac{\dfrac{w}{b}-30}{3}}\Bigg) &\ \ 30b \leq v \leq b(3\pi^2+30) \\
\\ 0 &\ \ \text{elsewhere}
\end{cases}\)
\(\text{Using CAS: Define }g(w)\ \text{and solve the simultaneous equations below for }a, b.\)
\(\displaystyle \int_{30.b}^{b.(3\pi^2+30)} g(w)\,dw=1\)
\(\displaystyle \int_{30.b}^{b.(3\pi^2+30)} w.g(w)\,dw=2\pi^2+8\)
\(\therefore\ b=\dfrac{2}{3}\ \text{and}\ a=\dfrac{3}{2}\)
\(\text{Method 2 : Transform the mean}\)
| \(\text{Area}\) | \(=1\) |
| \(\therefore\ a\) | \(=\dfrac{1}{b}\) |
| \(\to\ b\) | \(=\dfrac{E(W)}{E(V)}\) |
| \(=\dfrac{2\pi^2+8}{3\pi^2+12}\) | |
| \(=\dfrac{2(\pi^2+4)}{3(\pi^2+4)}\) | |
| \(=\dfrac{2}{3}\) |
|
| \(\therefore\ a\) | \(=\dfrac{3}{2}\) |
A transport company has detailed records of all its deliveries. The number of minutes a delivery is made before or after its schedule delivery time can be modelled as a normally distributed random variable, `T`, with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of four minutes. A graph of the probability distribution of `T` is shown below. --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- A rival transport company claims that there is a 0.85 probability that each delivery it makes will arrive on time or earlier. Assume that whether each delivery is on time or earlier is independent of other deliveries. --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---
a. `T\ ~\ N(0, 4^2)` `text(Solve (by CAS): Pr)(T<=a) = 0.6` `:. a= 1\ text(minute)` c. `text(Given)\ \ text{Pr}(-3 <= T <= 2) = 0.4648` `sigma = 4 text{minutes}` `=> \ text{Pr}(-4.5 <= T – 1.5 <= 0.5) = 0.4648` `=> k=-1.5` `text(By symmetry of the normal distribution)` `text{Pr}(-2 <= T <= 3) = text{Pr}(-3 <= T <= 2) = 0.4648` `=> \ text{Pr}(-4.5 <= T – 2.5 <= 0.5) = 0.4648` `=> k=-2.5` `:. k=-1.5, -2.5` d. `text{Let}\ \ X\ ~\ text{Bi}(8, 0.85)` `text(Solve (by CAS):)` `text{Pr}(X<=3) = 0.003\ \ text{(to 3 d.p.)}` e.i. `text{Pr(at least 1 delivery is late)}` `= 1-\ text{Pr(all deliveries are on time)}` `=1-0.85^n` e.ii. `text{Solve for}\ n:` f. `text{Pr(delivery made after 4pm)} = y` `=>\ text{Pr(delivery made before 4pm)} = 1-y` `y_min = (2)/(17-20 xx 0.3) = 2/11` `y_max = (2)/(17-20 xx 0.7) = 2/3`
b.
`text{Pr}(T <= 3∣T > 0)`
`=(text{Pr}(0 < T <= 3))/(text{Pr}(T > 0))`
`=(0.27337 dots)/(0.5)`
`=0.547\ \ text{(to 3 d.p.)}`
`1-0.85^n`
`<0.95`
`n`
`>18.43…`
`:.n_min=19`
`0.85(1-y)+xy`
`=0.75`
`y`
`=-(0.1)/(x-0.85)`
`=(2)/(17-20 x)`
`text(Given ) 0.3<=x<=0.7:`
Albin suspects that a coin is not actually a fair coin and he tosses it 18 times.
Albin observes a total of 12 heads from the 18 tosses.
Based on this sample, find the approximate 90% confidence interval for the probability of observing a head when this coin is tossed. Use the `z` value `33/20`. (2 marks)
`(29/60, 51/60)`
`hat p = 12/18 = 2/3`
`text(90% confidence interval)`
`= (2/3 – 33/20 sqrt((2/3 xx 1/3)/18), 2/3 + 33/20 sqrt((2/3 xx 1/3)/18))`
`= (2/3 – 33/20 sqrt(1/81), 2/3 + 33/20 sqrt(1/81))`
`= (2/3 – 11/60, 2/3 + 11/60)`
`= (29/60, 51/60)`
The Bouncy Ball Company (BBC) makes tennis balls whose diameters are normally distributed with mean 67 mm and standard deviation 1 mm. The tennis balls are packed and sold in cylindrical tins that each hold four balls. A tennis ball fits into such a tin if the diameter of the ball is less than 68.5 mm. --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- BBC management would like each ball produced to have diameter between 65.6 and 68.4 mm. --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- BBC management wants engineers to change the manufacturing process so that 99% of all balls produced have diameter between 65.6 and 68.4 mm. The mean is to stay at 67 mm but the standard deviation is to be changed. --- 6 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---
a. `0.9332` b. `0.8385` c.i. `0.8985` c.ii. `0.3482` d. `0.54\ text(mm)`
a. `text(Let)\ \ X = text(diameter),\ \ X ∼ text(N) (67, 1^2)` `text(Pr) (X < 68.5) = 0.9332\ \ text{(to 4 d.p.)}` `[text(CAS: normCdf) (– oo, 68.5, 67, 1)]` b. `text(Pr) (65.6 < X < 68.4)` `= 0.8385\ \ text{(to 4 d.p.)}` `[text(CAS: normCdf) (65.6, 68.4, 67, 1)]` c.i. `text(Pr) (65.6 < X < 68.4 \|\ X < 68.5)` `= (text{Pr} (65.6 < X < 68.4))/(text{Pr} (X < 68.5))` `= (0.838487…)/(0.933193…)` `= 0.8985\ \ text{(to 4 d.p.)}` ii. `text(Let)\ \ Y = text(Number of balls with diameter outside range)` `Y ∼ text(Bi)(4, 1 – 0.8985…) -> Y ∼ text(Bi) (4, 0.101486)` `text(Pr) (Y >= 1) = 0.3482\ \ text{(to 4 d.p.)}` d. `X = text(diameter),\ \ X ∼ text(N) (67, sigma^2)` `text(Relate 65.6 to its corresponding)\ \ z text(-score):`
`text(Pr) (Z < a)`
`= 0.005`
`a`
`= – 2.5758`
`– 2.5758…`
`= (65.6 – 67)/sigma`
`:. sigma`
`= 0.54\ text(mm)\ \ text{(to 2 d.p.)}`
In a chocolate factory the material for making each chocolate is sent to one of two machines, machine A or machine B. The time, `X` seconds, taken to produce a chocolate by machine A, is normally distributed with mean 3 and standard deviation 0.8. The time, `Y` seconds, taken to produce a chocolate by machine B, has the following probability density function `f(y) = {{:(0,y < 0),(y/16,0 <= y <= 4),(0.25e^(−0.5(y-4)),y > 4):}` --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 3 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 5 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- All of the chocolates produced by machine A and machine B are stored in a large bin. There is an equal number of chocolates from each machine in the bin. It is found that if a chocolate, produced by either machine, takes longer than 3 seconds to produce then it can easily be identified by its darker colour. --- 6 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---
a.i. `0.4938` a.ii. `0.4155` b. `4.333` c. `0.1812` d. `0.4103`
a.i. `X ∼\ N(3,0.8^2)` `text(Pr)(3 <= X <= 5) = 0.4938\ \ text{(4 d.p.)}` c. `text(Solution 1)` `text(Let)\ \ W = #\ text(chocolates from)\ B\ text(that take less)` `text(than 3 seconds)` `W ∼\ text(Bi)(10, 9/32)` `text(Using CAS: binomPdf)(10, 9/32,4)` `text(Pr)(W = 4) = 0.1812\ \ text{(4 d.p.)}` `text(Solution 2)`
a.ii.
`text(Pr)(3 <= Y <= 5)`
`= text(Pr)(3 <= Y <= 4) + (4 < Y <= 5)`
`= int_3^4 (y/16)dy + int_4^5(1/4 e^(−1/2(y-4)))dy`
`= 0.4155\ \ text{(4 d.p.)}`
b.
`text(E)(Y)`
`= int_0^4 y(y/16)dy + int_4^∞ 0.25ye^(−1/2(y-4))dy`
`= 4.333\ \ text{(3 d.p.)}`
`text(Pr)(W = 4)`
`=((10),(4)) (9/32)^4 (23/32)^6`
`=0.1812`
MARKER’S COMMENT: Students who used tree diagrams were the most successful.
d.

`text(Pr)(A | L)`
`= (text(Pr)(AL))/(text(Pr)(L))`
`= (0.5 xx 0.5)/(0.5 xx 0.5 + 0.5 xx 23/32)`
`= 0.4103\ \ text{(4 d.p.)}`
The continuous random variable `X` has a normal distribution with mean 20 and standard deviation 6. The continuous random variable `Z` has the standard normal distribution.
The probability that `Z` is between – 2 and 1 is equal to
`B`
Let `X` be a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 72 and a standard deviation of 8. Let `Z` be the standard normal random variable. Use the result that `text(Pr) (Z < 1) = 0.84`, correct to two decimal places, to find --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) --- --- 4 WORK AREA LINES (style=lined) ---
`text(Pr) (X > 80)` `= text(Pr) (Z > (80 – 72)/8)` `= text(Pr) (Z > 1)` `= 0.16` b. `text(Pr) (64 < X < 72)` `= text(Pr) (72 < X < 80)\ \ \ text(due to symmetry)` `= 0.5 – 0.16` `= 0.34` c. `text(Conditional probability)`
a.

MARKER’S COMMENT: Notation was poor, showing a lack of understanding in this area.
`text(Pr) (X < 64 | X < 72)`
`= (text{Pr} (X < 64))/(text{Pr} (X < 72))`
`= 0.16/0.50`
`= 8/25 or 0.32`
The random variable `X` is normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 4.
If `text(Pr) (X < 106) = q`, find `text(Pr) (94 < X < 100)` in terms of `q`. (2 marks)
`q – 1/2`