In 2010, the city of Thagoras modelled the predicted population of the city using the equation
`P = A(1.04)^n`.
That year, the city introduced a policy to slow its population growth. The new predicted population was modelled using the equation
`P = A(b)^n`.
In both equations, `P` is the predicted population and `n` is the number of years after 2010.
The graph shows the two predicted populations.
- Use the graph to find the predicted population of Thagoras in 2030 if the population policy had NOT been introduced. (1 mark)
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- In each of the two equations given, the value of `A` is 3 000 000.
What does `A` represent? (1 mark)
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- The guess-and-check method is to be used to find the value of `b`, in `P = A(b)^n`.
(1) Explain, with or without calculations, why 1.05 is not a suitable first estimate for `b`. (1 mark)
(2) With `n = 20` and `P = 4\ 460\ 000`, use the guess-and-check method and the equation `P = A(b)^n` to estimate the value of `b` to two decimal places. Show at least TWO estimate values for `b`, including calculations and conclusions. (2 marks)
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- The city of Thagoras was aiming to have a population under 7 000 000 in 2050. Does the model indicate that the city will achieve this aim?
Justify your answer with suitable calculations. (2 marks)
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